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After spending 139 days in first place, the Houston Astros have spent the past two days in second place. They have lost three straight games to the red-hot Texas Rangers and have fallen 1.5 games back in the division. The Astros do still hold a game-and-a-half lead over the Minnesota Twins for the second Wild Card spot. Even though their momentum is headed in the wrong direction, the Astros still have an 85.2-percent chance to make the playoffs according to the oddsmakers.
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For a team that lost 416 games over the past four years, thatí»s a pretty good position to be in.
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The Astros shocked the world by getting off to a 15-7 start in the month of April. That hot month was built largely on the backs of some of the most mediocre teams in the league. The Astros went a combined 13-4 against the Los Angeles Angels, Oakland Athletics, Seattle Mariners, and San Diego Padres. Their run differential in the month was 28. Since closing April in the midst of a ten-game winning streak, however, the Astros are just 52-52. More importantly (and troublesome), they are 4-10 in September and have been outscored by 10 runs.
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If this sounds like a familiar tale, thatí»s because it is. The 2014 Milwaukee Brewers held first place in the National League Central for a whopping 133 days, and found themselves on top of the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates as late as August 31. A miserable swoon dropped the overachieving bunch of Brewers all the way down to 82-80 on the seasoní»s final day.